М2М OF DECISION IN THE SYSTEMS OF SAFETY

The questions of grant of М2М of services are considered in the systems of safety, using for cooperation elements modern mobile communication networks. At functioning of the systems of the guard signaling there is a row of problems, requiring operative intervention of company rendering necessary technical support. At the receipt of beyond measure plenty of requests on service a company have problems of organizational and technical character, that renders the negative affecting quality of her work and reliability of grant of M2M of services. Offered approach calculation of the expected loading, that an analysis of stream of acting requests on service and development of adaptive mathematical models of prognostication are the basis of. The best results were got at the use of method of the exponential smoothing out and construction of model of Brown. Models offer for prognostication of incurrence of requests on service and requests acting on separate reasons of refuse in-process systems of signaling. Development and approbation of models was conducted on results work of successfully functioning in Алматы guard company. The executed design of number of requests allowed with sufficient exactness to count a short-term prognosis on the forthcoming periods of work. For providing of efficiency of control system by activity of company prognosis estimations are regularly counted at the receipt of new data for exhaust periods of time. Introduction of design results in the process of organization of work of attendant company assists stabilizing of her work and quality grant of M2M of services.

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