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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">kaz29</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник Казахстанско-Британского технического университета</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Herald of the Kazakh-British Technical University</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1998-6688</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2959-8109</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Казахстанско-Британский Технический Университет</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.55452/1998-6688-2026-23-2-353-364</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">kaz29-2918</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>КОМПЬЮТЕРНЫЕ НАУКИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>COMPUTER SCIENCE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ МОДЕЛЕЙ МАШИННОГО ОБУЧЕНИЯ ДЛЯ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ НАВЫКОВ КРИТИЧЕСКОГО МЫШЛЕНИЯ УЧАЩИХСЯ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>RESEARCH OF MACHINE LEARNING MODELS FOR PREDICTING STUDENTS’ CRITICAL THINKING SKILLS</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1596-561X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Молдагулова</surname><given-names>А. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Moldagulova</surname><given-names>A. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>к.ф.-м.н., профессор.</p><p>Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Cand. Sci. (Physics and Math.), Professor.</p><p>Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">a.moldagulova@satbayev.university</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6355-9544</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Касенхан</surname><given-names>А. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kassenkhan</surname><given-names>A. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>PhD, ассоциированный профессор.</p><p>Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD, Associate Professor.</p><p>Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">a.kassenkhan@satbayev.university</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3032-5049</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Утебаев</surname><given-names>К. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Utebaev</surname><given-names>K. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Магистрант.</p><p>Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Master’s student.</p><p>Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">utebayevkuat@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0001-7667-9561</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Изтурган</surname><given-names>Н. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Izturgan</surname><given-names>N. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Магистрант.</p><p>Алматы</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Master’s student.</p><p>Almaty</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">tasnur2002@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Казахский национальный исследовательский технический университет им. К.И. Сатпаева<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Kazakh National Research Technical University named after K.I. Satbayev<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru">Алматинский филиал Национального исследовательского ядерного университета «МИФИ»<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Almaty Branch of the National Research Nuclear University “MEPhI”<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>27</day><month>06</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>23</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>353</fpage><lpage>364</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Молдагулова А.Н., Касенхан А.М., Утебаев К.А., Изтурган Н.Б., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Молдагулова А.Н., Касенхан А.М., Утебаев К.А., Изтурган Н.Б.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Moldagulova A.N., Kassenkhan A.M., Utebaev K.A., Izturgan N.B.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.kbtu.edu.kz/jour/article/view/2918">https://vestnik.kbtu.edu.kz/jour/article/view/2918</self-uri><abstract><p>В данной статье изучается потенциал использования методов машинного обучения для прогнозирования уровня критического мышления учащихся на основе академических и поведенческих данных. Хотя критическое мышление широко признано важнейшим навыком в современном образовании, его прямая оценка по-прежнему затруднена. Целью исследования является выявление взаимосвязи между уровнем развития критического мышления и измеримыми факторами, такими как академическая успеваемость, участие во внеклассных мероприятиях и выбор учебных курсов. Был собран и обработан набор данных из 500 анонимных профилей учащихся для извлечения ключевых характеристик. Были разработаны и оценены с использованием стандартных метрик эффективности три модели: линейная регрессия, дерево решений и случайный лес-регрессор. Модель случайного леса продемонстрировала превосходную прогностическую эффективность, достигнув значения R² 0,84 по сравнению с 0,65 для дерева решений и 0,37 для линейной регрессии. Результаты исследования свидетельствуют о том, что академические достижения учащихся, выбор курсов и уровень их внеклассной активности в совокупности дают ценную информацию об их способностях к критическому мышлению. В целом результаты подтверждают эффективность подходов, основанных на данных, для косвенной оценки когнитивных навыков, что имеет практическое значение для разработки учебных программ, инициатив раннего вмешательства и планирования образовательной политики. Используя доступные образовательные данные, этот подход способствует разработке более масштабируемых, объективных и персонализированных методов оценки в области аналитики обучения.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This article explores the potential of using machine learning methods to predict students’ critical thinking skills based on academic and behavioral data. Although critical thinking is widely recognized as a critical skill in modern education, its direct assessment remains challenging. The aim of the study was to identify the relationship between critical thinking development and measurable factors such as academic achievement, participation in extracurricular activities, and course selection. A dataset of 500 anonymized student profiles was collected and processed to extract key characteristics. Three models were developed and evaluated using standard performance metrics: linear regression, decision tree, and random forest regressor. The random forest model demonstrated superior predictive performance, achieving an R² value of 0.84, compared to 0.65 for the decision tree and 0.37 for the linear regression. The study’s findings demonstrate that students’ academic achievement, course selection, and level of extracurricular activity collectively provide valuable insight into their critical thinking abilities. Overall, the results support the effectiveness of data-driven approaches for indirectly assessing cognitive skills, which has practical implications for curriculum development, early intervention initiatives, and educational policy planning. By leveraging readily available educational data, this approach facilitates the development of more scalable, objective, and personalized assessment methods in the field of learning analytics.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>машинное обучение</kwd><kwd>линейная регрессия</kwd><kwd>дерево решений</kwd><kwd>случайный лес</kwd><kwd>критическое мышление</kwd><kwd>прогнозирование уровня критического мышления студентов</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>machine learning</kwd><kwd>linear regression</kwd><kwd>decision tree</kwd><kwd>random forest</kwd><kwd>critical thinking</kwd><kwd>predicting students’ critical thinking skills</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group xml:lang="ru"><funding-statement>В статье представлены результаты исследований, выполненных в рамках программно-целевого финансирования на 2024–2026 гг. по проекту IRN BR24993072 «Разработка интеллектуального образовательного ресурса на основе искусственного интеллекта для развития критического мышления студентов», финансируемого Комитетом науки Министерства науки и высшего образования Республики Казахстан</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Paul, R., and L. 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